ProjectSummary.pdf
(
1435 KB
)
Pobierz
ROADMAP 2050
A PRActicAl guiDe tO A PROSPeROuS,
lOw-cARbOn euROPe
www.ROADMAP2050.eu
PROject SuMMARy
The mission of Roadmap 2050 is to provide a
practical, independent and objective analysis
of pathways to achieve a low-carbon economy
in Europe, in line with the energy security,
environmental and economic goals of the European
Union. The Roadmap 2050 project is funded by
the European Climate Foundation and has created
a fact-based analysis that illustrates why a zero-
carbon power sector is required and how that can
become a reality, in line with Europe’s long-term
climate and energy security commitments through to
2050.
and the European Climate Foundation, with the
involvement of leading utilities, transmission
operators, equipment manufacturers, academics
and NGOs.
The roadmap examines several decarbonisation
scenarios for the power sector and, based on a
back-casting methodology, sets out the near-term
implications of this long-term commitment.
The Roadmap 2050 project analysis started in
August 2009. Over the 8 months of the project, a
vast amount of analytical work has taken place,
including speciic detailed sessions with industry
collaborators on the assumptions that could be
reasonably made regarding each technology
contributing to the decarbonised scenarios and four
meetings of the core relection group of industry and
NGOs.
The project is based on extensive technical,
economic and policy analyses conducted by leading
organizations in the ield: Imperial College London;
KEMA; McKinsey & Company; Oxford Economics;
the Ofice for Metropolitan Architecture; The Energy
Research Centre of the Netherlands (ECN), E3G
The Roadmap 2050 project is an initiative of the European Climate Foundation (ECF) and has been developed by a consortium of experts
funded by the ECF. In addition, a wide range of companies, consultancy irms, research centres and NGOs have further supported the
preparation of this report. The ECF is the sole author of the Roadmap 2050 report, is solely responsible for its content and will act as a
guardian of the content.
Press contact
s
:
Tom Brookes, Energy Strategy Centre
tom.brookes@europeanclimate.org
Project Summary - April 2010
ROADMAP 2050
A PRActicAl guiDe tO A PROSPeROuS,
lOw-cARbOn euROPe
www.ROADMAP2050.eu
When the Roadmap 2050 project started, a number
of widely shared assumptions dominated the
debate on the future of the European power sector.
These included assertions that high-renewable
energy scenarios would be too unstable to provide
suficient reliability, that high-renewable scenarios
would be uneconomic and much more costly, and
that technology breakthroughs would be required
to move Europe to a zero-carbon power sector.
Roadmap 2050 has found all of these assertions to
be incorrect.
The project inds that in each of the low/zero-carbon
pathways, using 40%, 60%, 80% or 100% renewable
energy sources, the future cost of electricity is
comparable to the future cost of electricity under the
current carbon-intensive infrastructure. Roadmap
2050 also shows that with the necessary investments
in energy eficiency and Europe’s power network
infrastructure, a decarbonised power sector using
available technologies can provide the same high
level of reliability that consumers enjoy today, in all
low/zero carbon pathways.
With the exception of existing hydroelectric facilities,
almost all of the power generation capacity required to
supply Europe in 2050 will need to be built in the next
40 years. This is a major undertaking regardless of
the energy mix, and would pose a massive challenge
even in a high-carbon scenario. The key inding of
the Roadmap 2050 project is that the challenge is
basically the same in either a high-carbon, low-carbon
or zero-carbon energy scenario, in terms of overall
cost to consumers and the European economy.
Action before 2015 is a prerequisite for decarboni-
sation by 2050. Immediate policy development and
implementation will need to focus on:
1. Energy Eficiency measures, creating cost savings
and reducing demand.
2. Investments in regional grid inter-connection,
minimizing back-up supply and load-balancing
requirements, plus a broad program of smart grid
pilot projects anticipating rapid expansion.
What does change signiicantly is the required level
of investment early in the cycle. Capital expenditure
on energy infrastructure will need to increase by 50-
100% in the next 15 years to deliver a zero-carbon
power sector by 2050. But in that scenario, the overall
energy bill for the economy will be heading downward
by 2020, and the day-to-day running costs fall fast
throughout the period.
3. Continued and accelerated technology
development.
4. Market reform to ensure an effective long-term
investment case for business.
5. Laying the foundation for rapid fuel switch to
electricity in buildings and transport sectors.
As well as studying the technical requirements of the
grid and power infrastructure and the economics of
the various scenarios, the Roadmap 2050 project has
also delivered an analysis of the policy requirements
for decarbonisation of the power sector by 2050.
Roadmap 2050 shows that existing policy
frameworks can be adapted to support
decarbonisation of the European power-sector, but
that an holistic approach is needed, with rapid action
at both regional and national level required.
The Roadmap 2050 project shows that the beneits of
the low-carbon transition far outweigh the challenges
and that a commitment now to a systemic low-carbon
transformation of the energy sector is ultimately the
winning economic strategy for competitiveness and
low-carbon prosperity in Europe. Achieving at least
80% greenhouse gas reductions in 2050 based on
zero carbon power generation in Europe is technically
feasible and fully reliable, including pathways based
on very high contributions from renewables, and
makes compelling economic sense.
Project Summary - April 2010
Plik z chomika:
jj72
Inne pliki z tego folderu:
Corepresentation.ppt
(9008 KB)
EnergyEfficiency.pdf
(1895 KB)
LaunchpresentationVolume1.pdf
(7896 KB)
LaunchpresentationVolume2.pdf
(1111 KB)
Macro-economics.pdf
(2004 KB)
Inne foldery tego chomika:
_Rural Electrification
ADB
AEPC - Nepal
ARE
Clean Edge
Zgłoś jeśli
naruszono regulamin