Introduction To Foreign Exchange.pdf

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Introduction To Foreign Exchange
A Little History
The purpose of this ebook is to introduce the forex market to you. As with many
markets there are many derivative of the central market such as futures, options
and forwards. For the purpose of this book we will only be discussing the main
market sometime referred to as the Spot or Cash market.
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About Forex
The Forex market has quickly become the world's largest financial market, with an
estimate daily turnover of $3.2 trillion. It is a market that has great appeal to a
financial trader because of its volume which guarantees liquidity. High liquidity
means that a trader can trade whatever currencies he feels like at all times, since
there will always be someone to buy and sell any currency he wants. Another
outstanding feature of the forex market is that it is active 24 hours a day and is
closed only on the weekends. This means that unlike the stock market for example,
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traders in the forex market don't need to wait for a bell to ring, but can make trading
decisions around the clock.
Enter the internet into the equation. Now the forex market is literally at your
fingertips. Most brokers offer online trading facilities which enable you to trade
simply by clicking a button, instead of the traditional phone call. The internet has
really revolutionized the industry, making the retail section of the market more
dominant than ever.
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What’s Different?
Unlike many other securities (any financial instrument that can be traded) the FX
market does not have a fixed exchange. It is primarily traded through banks,
brokers, dealers, financial institutions and private individuals. Trades are executed
through phone and increasingly through the Internet. It is only in the last few years
that the smaller investor has been able to gain access to this market. Previously the
large amounts of deposits required precluded the smaller investors. With the
advent of the Internet and growing competition it is now easily in the reach of
most investors.
You will often hear the term INTERBANK discussed in FX terminology. This
originally, as the name implies was simply banks and large institutions exchanging
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information about the current rate at which their clients or themselves were
prepared to buy or sell a currency. INTER meaning between and Bank meaning
deposit taking institutions normally made up of banks, large institution, brokers or
even the government. The market has moved on to such a degree now that the
term interbank now means anybody who is prepared to buy or sell a currency. It
could be two individuals or your local travel agent offering to exchange Euros for
US Dollars. You will however find that most of the brokers and banks use
centralized feeds to insure reliability of quote. The quotes for Bid (buy) and Offer
(sell) will all be from reliable sources. These quotes are normally made up of the
top 300 or so large institutions. This insures that if they place an order on your
behalf that the institutions they have placed the order with is capable of fulfilling
the order.
Now although we have spoken about orders being fulfilled, it is estimated that
anywhere from 70%-90% of the FX market is speculative. In other words the
person or institution that bought or sold the currency has no intention of actually
taking delivery of the currency. Instead they were solely speculating on the
movement of that particular currency.
Source: Bank For International Settlements http://www.bis.org Extract From The
Triennial Central Bank Survey of Foreign Exchange and Derivatives Market Activity.
Currency 1989 1992 1995 1998 2001
US Dollar 90 82.0 83.3 87.3 90.4
Euro . . . . 37.6
Japanese Yen 27 23.4 24.1 20.2 22.7
Pound Sterling 15 13.6 9.4 11.0 13.2
Swiss Franc 10 8.4 7.3 7.1 6.1
As you can see from the above table over 90% of all currencies are traded against
the US Dollar. The four next most traded currencies are the Euro (EUR), Japanese
Yen (JPY), Pound Sterling (GBP) and Swiss Franc(CHF). As currencies are traded in
pairs and exchanged one for the other when traded, the rate at which they are
exchanged is called the exchange rate. These four currencies traded against the US
Dollar make up the majority of the market and are called major currencies or the
majors.
Market Mechanics
So now we know that the FX market is the largest in the world and that your
broker or institution that you are trading with is collecting quotes from a
centralized feed or individual quotes comprising of interbank rates. So how are
these quotes made up. Well, as we previously mentioned currencies are traded in
pairs and are each assigned a symbol. For the Japanese Yen it is JPY, for the Pounds
Sterling it is GBP, for Euro it is EUR and for the Swiss Frank it is CHF. So, EUR/USD
would be Euro-Dollar pair. GBP/USD would be pounds Sterling-Dollar pair and
USD/CHF would be Dollar-Swiss Franc pair and so on. You will always see the USD
quoted first with few exceptions such as Pounds Sterling, EuroDollar, Australia
Dollar and New Zealand Dollar. The first currency quoted is called the base
currency. Have a look below for some example.
Currency Symbol Currency Pair
EUR/USD
Euro / US Dollar
GBP/USD
Pounds Sterling/ US Dollar
USD/JPY
US Dollar / Japanese Yen
USD/CHF
US Dollar / Swiss Franc
USD/CAD
US Dollar / Canadian Dollar
AUD/USD
Australian Dollar / US Dollar
NZD/USD
New Zealand Dollar / US Dollar
When you see FX quotes you will actually see two numbers. The first number is
called the bid and the second number is called the offer (sometimes called the
ASK). If we use the EUR/USD as an example you might see 0.9950/0.9955 the first
number 0.9950 is the bid price and is the price traders are prepared to buy Euros
against the USD Dollar. The second number 0.9955 is the offer price and is the price
traders are prepared to sell the Euro against the US Dollar. These quotes are
sometimes abbreviated to the last two digits of the currency such as 50/55. Each
broker has its own convention and some will quote the full number and others will
show only the last two. You will also notice that there is a difference between the
bid and the offer price and that is called the spread. For the four major currencies
the spread is normally 5 give or take a pip (will explain pips later)
To carry on from the symbol conventions and using our previous EUR quote of
0.9950 bid, that means that 1 Euro = 0.9950 US Dollars. In another example if we
used the USD/CAD 1.4500 that would mean that 1 US Dollar = 1.4500 Canadian
Dollars.
The most common increment of currencies is the PIP. If the EUR/USD moves from
0.9550 to 0.9551 that is one Pip. A pip is the last decimal place of a quotation. The
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